paolina_3 ®   21-Jul-2020 18:42

Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting


Year: 2019
Language: english
Author: Various Authors
Genre: Lectures
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 978-3-642-39925-1
Format: PDF
Quality: eBook
Pages count: 1521
Description: The traditional deterministic, single-valued forecasts are often inadequate to meet many needs of weather professionals and users. The key advantage of ensemble forecasts over deterministic forecasts is that deterministic forecasts only predict one likely scenario of an impending event, while ensemble forecasts shows many, and also give associated uncertainty information that is critical for making risk-based decisions. Hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting is still a relatively young field; even today deterministic forecasting is still the dominant practice in most operational hydrologic forecasting centers. But the ensemble forecasting approach is developing. This can be made possible by the development of weather predicting models, computational software and hardware and new data assimilation techniques. This book aims to improve operational hydrometeorological forecasts to a high level of confidence, so that they can be used by emergency and water resources operators.

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